Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002774 0.002899 0.003025 0.003164 0.003311 0.003463 0.003632
2025-02-16 0.002538 0.002725 0.002923 0.003149 0.003398 0.003668 0.003981
2025-02-23 0.002379 0.002602 0.002843 0.003125 0.003447 0.003805 0.004235
2025-03-02 0.002291 0.002543 0.002822 0.003156 0.003546 0.003990 0.004540
2025-03-09 0.002194 0.002465 0.002771 0.003142 0.003586 0.004103 0.004758
2025-03-16 0.002106 0.002392 0.002718 0.003121 0.003611 0.004193 0.004948
2025-03-23 0.002016 0.002311 0.002651 0.003077 0.003604 0.004241 0.005083
2025-03-30 0.001939 0.002240 0.002592 0.003039 0.003599 0.004288 0.005215
2025-04-06 0.001890 0.002201 0.002568 0.003041 0.003643 0.004394 0.005425
2025-04-13 0.001797 0.002105 0.002472 0.002949 0.003561 0.004336 0.005415
2025-04-20 0.001758 0.002074 0.002454 0.002953 0.003603 0.004437 0.005619
2025-04-27 0.001740 0.002067 0.002465 0.002994 0.003692 0.004602 0.005915
2025-05-04 0.001685 0.002014 0.002417 0.002957 0.003679 0.004631 0.006028
2025-05-11 0.001645 0.001977 0.002388 0.002945 0.003697 0.004704 0.006204
2025-05-18 0.001603 0.001937 0.002354 0.002924 0.003702 0.004756 0.006351
2025-05-25 0.001584 0.001926 0.002357 0.002952 0.003774 0.004904 0.006645
2025-06-01 0.001550 0.001894 0.002331 0.002940 0.003789 0.004971 0.006820
2025-06-08 0.001515 0.001860 0.002301 0.002920 0.003792 0.005021 0.006970
2025-06-15 0.001473 0.001817 0.002257 0.002880 0.003765 0.005025 0.007048
2025-06-22 0.001436 0.001777 0.002218 0.002846 0.003745 0.005036 0.007137
2025-06-29 0.001414 0.001758 0.002206 0.002847 0.003776 0.005125 0.007354
2025-07-06 0.001361 0.001696 0.002133 0.002763 0.003678 0.005017 0.007246
2025-07-13 0.001342 0.001680 0.002124 0.002767 0.003711 0.005108 0.007466